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“We do expect growth to be relatively strong this year at around 6.3 percent platinum cufflinks india. That should support stability of the yuan and also help to underpin the stock market. The big risk to all of that is what will happen with the U.S.-China trade war. If there is no deal and if the trade measures escalate, then this would be a negative for the currency, the growth outlook and the equity market. A lot will hinge on what happens in the U.S.-China trade war, and if a deal can be concluded in the first half of this year.”..
NAOTO SAITO, CHIEF RESEARCHER, DAIWA INSTITUTE OF RESEARCH, TOKYO. “The data shows the economy is steadily slowing down, although we had thought we could have seen a bigger slowdown. “It is hit by three factors, a slowdown in the global economy, including Chine’s own, due to rising U.S platinum cufflinks india. interest rates, the U.S-China trade war and weak demand for mobile phones, which accounts for about 70 percent of the fall in China’s exports in December.”. “The government has means to support the economy. They can expand infrastructure spending and they can cut banks’ reserve requirement ratio. So we don’t need to worry about capital spending..
“But the problem lies in consumption platinum cufflinks india. As the U.S. and China clash on many fronts, consumer sentiment appears to have been hurt. Until now, solid wage growth has been supporting consumption but now there appears to be a sense of vague anxiety about the future.”. STEVE COCHRANE, CHIEF APAC ECONOMIST, MOODY’S ANALYTICS. “It’s pretty clear that the government will try to use as much selective stimulus to keep the economy on a good track. They could easily reduce the RRR again. It is still not down to where it was back during the financial crisis. That, plus some tax cuts. The difficulty will be trying to ramp up consumer spending and that’s because of the high debt load consumers are in right now. The corporate debt load is high as well. Local governments are strapped with debt. So it’s not the question of if government being able to provide for the stimulus but really the effectiveness of it.”..
“The data continues to reflect a slowdown in China that is caused by both domestic and external weakness. Some positives to take away are that IP and retail sales beat expectations in December. That highlights some degree of resilience in the economy and shows that some of the targeted stimulus measures are helping a little to support the economy platinum cufflinks india. “The trade war didn’t directly impact on the growth figures so much because growth is mostly domestically supported. But its impact on both consumer and investor confidence was much greater.”..
“No real surprises there. The GDP number is down a little bit but that has been expected platinum cufflinks india. It’s consistent with the commentary around a slowdown in Chinese growth. “The IP and retail data point to some stabilization in growth towards the end of last year. Overall they are not bad numbers although there will be some debate about how reliable these numbers are. “We are expecting a slowdown in Q1 led by exports, although for the year as a whole we are seeing 6.2 percent. “As far as policy response is concerned, I don’t think we are likely to see the kind of stimulus we saw in 2015/16.”..