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The ADP report has a spotty record predicting the private-payrolls component of the government’s employment report and last month’s surge probably exaggerates the strength of the labor market because of a seasonal quirk mont blanc cufflinks price. “The ADP employment report has been susceptible to large swings in December that we think may be in part due to a year-end quirk that has tended to result in ADP printing high relative to payrolls in the final month of the year,” said John Ryding, chief economist at RDQ Economics in New York..
Still, other labor market indicators were strong in December, including consumers’ perceptions of the job market. According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 177,000 jobs last month after rising 155,000 in November. The unemployment rate is forecast steady near a 49-year low of 3.7 percent mont blanc cufflinks price. With the labor market viewed at being at or beyond full employment, the pace of job growth is slowing as employers struggle to find workers. Some of the moderation in employment gains has been attributed to the stock market rout..
A third report from the Labor Department showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted 231,000 for the week ended Dec. 29. Claims have now increased for three straight weeks. Claims data tends to be noisy around year-end holidays. The four-week moving average of initial claims, considered a better measure of labor market trends as it irons out week-to-week volatility, slipped 500 to 218,750 last week. “The claims data suggest that conditions in the labor market have softened relative to a few months ago when the claims readings were very upbeat, but the extent of any deterioration is not entirely obvious and does not look extreme at this point,” said Daniel Silver, an economist at JPMorgan in New York mont blanc cufflinks price.
DETROIT (Reuters) – Major automakers on Thursday shrugged off declines in U.S. new vehicle sales in December and said they were bullish about 2019 even as economists warned that rising interest rates will discourage consumers from buying cars in the year ahead. “Despite recent market turbulence, the data we have in hand suggests an economy that remains on solid footing heading into the new year,” Ford Chief Economist Emily Kolinski Morris said on a conference call. “Consumers seem to be looking through market volatility to focus on continued positive job and income conditions.” mont blanc cufflinks price.
But Cox Automotive analyst Michelle Krebs said an overhaul of the U.S mont blanc cufflinks price. tax system boosted sales in 2018, adding that consumers moved up their purchases on concerns the Trump administration would impose tariffs as well as fears of rising interest rates. American consumers have gradually been abandoning passenger cars in favor of larger, more comfortable SUVs and pickup trucks that are far more profitable for automakers. Ford Motor Co (F.N) reported an 8.8 percent drop in sales for December, with declines in passenger cars, SUVs and pickup trucks..